Expect points in the nuggets in heat
Overs stick out like a sore thumb considering the line for the Heat and Nuggets is set at 215. We expect a bigger total and -110 is available.
9 wins in the last 10 H2H clashes for the Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets have won three straight after a 125-119 home win over the Toronto Raptors at Ball Arena. Nikola Jokic scored 35 points, Jamal Murray had 26 and Michael Porter Jr. 19.
The Miami Heat were defeated 110-108 at the Kaseya Center in their last game. This home loss to the Washington Wizards was their third straight loss. Jimmy Butler recorded 23 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists.
It was the Nuggets who won in their last match against the Heat. At Ball Arena, a 103-97 victory was recorded. That makes four straight wins for the Nuggets against the Heat. Head to head, they have won 9 of the last 10.
Expert NBA analysis
We study form as a first port of call and also make sure we are dealing with possible injuries before making NBA predictions. The next step is to understand the type of story provided by the statistics.
Nuggets vs Heat key stats:
Over 215 points seems like a realistic outcome for this NBA game. We take odds of -110 since the total line here seems too low.
Get more desirable odds by moving the line when placing an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on totals until you are happy with your stake.
More than 215 probability
According to sportsbooks, there is a 52.4% chance that our pick will get a return. Based on our extensive research on cappers, we calculate that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That’s why we consider this a value bet.
Nuggets vs Heat Prediction
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Published at 9:26 p.m., March 12, 2024
Correct score prediction
We’re expecting a close game, so it might be worth it for the Heat to win by a score of 110-109. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get our money’s worth.
Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat odds
Odds and lines are updated frequently. So you may find that they are different from those listed for betting predictions and betting maker tips.
Nuggets likely to win according to latest odds
The Denver Nuggets are -190 favorite, which means a 66% chance of winning this NBA game according to sportsbook Moneyline odds. For those who want to go against the market leader, you can get +160 regarding the Miami Heat.
The spread is currently 4.5, with the total points at 215. There is no denying the popularity of totals betting. If you like Over 215, this selection is available at -110.
There is a huge choice of game lines and team props when it comes to betting on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the bet that suits your vision of the game .
Betting lines and odds
Player props and micro bets
If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player accessories instead. It’s great to bet on total points, three-pointers, assists, steals, blocks and rebounds as potential options.
There are always opportunities to take advantage of micro-betting. It is generally true that you will find team and player props in the game and that basketball bettors can use their knowledge to bet on outcomes, such as whether the next shot will be a two or three point shot .
Team statistics
Latest regular season and play-off statistics.
Denver Nuggets Stats
Miami Heat Statistics
Money line
- 9 wins and 1 loss in the last 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 losses in the last 10 away matches
Money line
- 6 wins and 4 losses in the last 10 matches
- 5 wins and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches
Point spread
- -3.5 Betting line: Having covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Road betting line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 road games
Point spread
- +3.5 betting line: Having covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Home Betting Line: Having covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
Total points
- Game totals: An average of 230.70 pts over the previous 10 matches
- Road game totals: An average of 221.80 pts in the last 10 away matches
- More than 215: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- More than 215 on the road: Covered in 7 of previous 10 road games
- Team totals: Have scored an average of 120.90 pts and allowed 109.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Road team totals: Have scored on average 109.60 pts and allowed 112.20 pts in the last 10 away matches
Total points
- Game totals: An average of 216.80 pts over the previous 10 matches
- Home game totals: An average of 223.90 pts in the last 10 home games
- More than 215: Covered in 5 of previous 10 games
- More than 215 at home: Covered in 9 of previous 10 home games
- Team totals: Have scored an average of 109.90 pts and allowed 106.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Home team totals: Have scored an average of 112.00 pts and allowed 111.90 pts in the last 10 home games
Team Stats – Avg./Game
last 10 matches
- 2 pointers made: 36.10 (61%)
- 3 pointers made: 11.70 (37%)
- Free throws made: 13.60 (79%)
- Rebounds: Total 45.1, Offensive 9.50, Defensive 35.60
- Help: 32.70
- Blocks: 7.10
- Stolen : 8:60 a.m.
- Turnover: 12:10 p.m.
- Personal fouls: 5:10 p.m.
Last 10 road games
- 2 pointers made: 31.70 (55%)
- 3 pointers made: 10.90 (35%)
- Free throws made: 13.50 (75%)
- Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 33.10
- Help: 27:60
- Blocks: 6:20 a.m.
- Stolen : 6:60 a.m.
- Turnover: 12:70 p.m.
- Personal fouls: 4:80 p.m.
Team Stats – Avg./Game
last 10 matches
- 2 pointers made: 28.50 (54%)
- 3 pointers made: 12.10 (39%)
- Free throws made: 16.60 (77%)
- Rebounds: Total 41.4, Offensive 8.60, Defensive 32.80
- Help: 25.80
- Blocks: 4.80
- Stolen : 8.10
- Turnover: 11:80 a.m.
- Personal fouls: 4:60 p.m.
Last 10 home matches
- 2 pointers made: 29.10 (53%)
- 3 pointers made: 12.50 (36%)
- Free throws made: 4:30 p.m. (84%)
- Rebounds: Total 43.1, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 33.10
- Help: 26.80
- Blocks: 3.20
- Stolen : 6.80
- Turnover: 9.10
- Personal fouls: 5:00 p.m.
Confirmed lineups for both teams will be released ahead of the announcement. It is also possible to consult the compositions of the previous 10 matches.
