THE Warriors of the Golden State (34-30) face the Dallas Mavericks (37-28) Wednesday with tipoff from the American Airlines Center scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sports Betting lines around the Warriors vs. Mavericks odds and make sure our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Mavs lead 1-0
The Dubs split a home-and-home matchup with the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday and Monday. They lost the home game 126-113 and won the away game 112-102. This will be their 3rd consecutive game without G Stephen Curry (ankle). g Klay Thompson stepped up with 27 and 21 points in the previous 2 games. He shot 14 of 32 from distance (43.8%) over the last 3 games.
The Mavs followed a 3 game losing streak with a 3 game winning streak. The latest was a 127-92 Monday in which the Matador was faster than the Chicago Bulls. g Luka Doncic is on another level right now with triple-doubles in 7 straight games. He averages 35 points, 11.1 rebounds and 11.9 assists over this period.
Warriors alongside the Mavericks
Provided by BetMGM Sports Betting; to access USA TODAY Center for Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds for a complete list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.
- Money Line (ML): Warriors +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Mavericks -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +7.5 (-115) | Mavericks -7.5 (-105)
- More/Less (Y/U): 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Key Warriors Injuries at Mavericks
Warriors
- g Stephen Curry (ankle) outside
Nonconformists
For the most recent updates: Official NBA Injury Report.
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Warriors at Mavericks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 122, Warriors 110
Money line
The Mavs are heavy favorites, and they should be. The Warriors haven’t been gangbusters, even with Curry in the lineup. So there’s no play on the moneyline, but there is a prop that’s worth it.
We mentioned that Doncic had trip-dubs in 7 straight games. Can he reach 8 against a depleted Warriors team? Absolutely.
MGM offers a 33% odds increase token on NBA betting with an overall minimum odds of -300. Let’s go with it LUKA DONCIC TRIPLE-DOUBLE (+130) which BOOSTS to +172.
Against the spread
The Mavs (without G Kyrie Irving) beat the Dubs (only without Green Draymond) at 10 a.m. earlier this season in their building. I have no confidence in GS without Steph.
However, let’s avoid the -7.5 gap. SGP MAVERICKS -5.5 + LUKA DONCIC 25+ POINTS (+100) for an equal gain. He has 25+ in 10 in a row.
More less
The Warriors are 2-8 O/U in the last 10, and the Mavs are 5-5. The Over has won gold in 8 of the 10 meetings between the teams. The question here is do the Warriors have enough to score the 110 needed to concede an Over or are they being held back?
I think it’s insufficient – but not by much.
LEAN LESS THAN 232.5 (-105).
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