Every week through the 2024-25 NBA season, we’ll dig deeper into among the league’s greatest storylines to attempt to decide whether or not the traits are primarily based extra on reality or fiction.

[Last time on Fact or Fiction: The Suns have nowhere to go but up]


We’re solely eight months away from the final time we questioned if Zion Williamson might anchor a contender, like he torched LeBron James in a play-in event sport in opposition to the Los Angeles Lakers.

Besides, in a microcosm of his younger profession, Williamson left that outing with a left hamstring damage that subsequently price him the New Orleans Pelicans’ complete first-round playoff sequence with the Thunder. Oklahoma Metropolis. He hasn’t performed in a single playoff sport in six seasons. Williamson’s influence is extra theoretical than actual.

Is there someplace however New Orleans Who nonetheless desires to check this concept?

Williamson returned from one other left hamstring damage to whole 22 factors, six rebounds and 4 assists in 28 minutes Tuesday, the newest glimpse of the potential that made him the No. 1 total decide in 2019.

When wholesome, Williamson is among the most attractive abilities within the league. Though he by no means made an All-NBA group, he earned two All-Star picks, in 2021 and 2023, when he completed each seasons on the injured listing. Nobody averaging 24-6-4 of their profession has had a real capturing share as excessive as Williamson (62.7 TS%). Solely Kevin Durant is in the suitable vary.

24-6-4 CAREER AVERAGES, NBA HISTORY

PLAYER

PPG

RPG

APG

TS%

Zion Williamson

24.6

6.6

4.2

62.7

Kevin Durant

27.3

7.0

4.4

62.0

LeBron James

27.1

7.5

7.4

59.0

Luka Doncic

28.6

8.7

8.3

58.8

Michael Jordan

30.1

6.2

5.3

56.9

Larry Chicken

24.3

10.0

6.3

56.4

Oscar Robertson

25.7

7.5

9.5

56.4

Wilt Chamberlain

30.1

22.9

4.4

54.7

Elgin Baylor

27.4

13.5

4.3

49.4

Usually, that might be sufficient for many groups to take a flyer on Williamson. The opportunity of touchdown considered one of these guys – in a league that may solely be received with considered one of these guys – presents appreciable damage danger, particularly for a group that in any other case has no actual likelihood of profitable. purchase a participant of this caliber.

A group like New Orleans.

The Pelicans would have purchased Williamson in his makes an attempt to land a high decide within the 2023 draft, and fewer than 18 months later, they’re the worst group within the Western Convention – vying for a high decide. If New Orleans was nonetheless keen to maneuver on from Williamson, who would care? This makes lots of sense.

And the Pelicans might certainly discover a commerce accomplice. If the Washington Wizards traded the remaining 4 years of Bradley Beal’s supermax contract, anybody could possibly be dealt, particularly Williamson, a probably game-changing 24-year-old. The query is not whether or not anybody would commerce for Williamson; that is in the event that they ought to.

In line with Basketball Reference’s database, solely 4 different gamers in NBA historical past are shorter than 6-foot-10 and weigh greater than 280 kilos: Glen Davis, Robert Traylor, Jahidi White and Oliver Miller. All have been out of the league by the age of 30. That is the chances Williamson faces, even recognizing he is essentially the most athletic of all of them. (Which could really make it much less doubtless that he’ll see a sport within the 2030s.)

One other inglorious listing contains Williamson, that of massive males whose careers have been ravaged by accidents. Invoice Walton, Ralph Sampson, Yao Ming, these guys should not in the perfect well being. Joel Embiid is the perfect case state of affairs, and you will not discover a ton of groups lining up for the $250 million remaining on his contract. The Philadelphia 76ers have spent the final decade servicing a participant with unreliable availability.

Williamson has about half of the cash remaining on his contract, which runs till his twenty seventh birthday. The window for him to search out his place as an influential celebrity is the rest of this contract, earlier than his journeyman period, when contracts dwindle and expectations diminish, till the league fully loses its religion.

What’s going to the Pelicans get for Williamson anyway? We nonetheless have two years of damage historical past because the final time the highest finish of the lottery turned them down for trades. A draft stash will not be their drawback. They will nonetheless hope for an additional decide to turn out to be the following face of this franchise. The one two others, Chris Paul and Anthony Davis, have left for greater markets. They’ve by no means signed a high-profile free agent. No matter they get for Williamson, they do not get any nearer to a championship than the opportunity of him placing all of it collectively.

What the Pelicans ought to do is commerce everybody not named Herb Jones, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi and possibly Jose Alvarado. Minimize your wage and construct from the underside up, no matter decide they land after this horrible season, as if Williamson is not there, and if he’s, properly, possibly he’ll then concern his title.

That is the hope of New Orleans. A wing and a prayer. Zion Williamson’s well being.

It is a multi-year course of that, if unsuccessful, will ultimately liberate wage cap flexibility.

There is no such thing as a different approach from right here. What the Pelicans are doing, hoarding expertise, even when it hampers their inner improvement, is clearly not working. Brandon Ingram, Dejounte Murray and CJ McCollum should not contenders. They’ve reached their ceiling within the NBA, and buying and selling Williamson is a lateral transfer.

No different group can afford this technique, rebuilding its roster round prospects and picks, whereas protecting Williamson’s contract alongside for the trip. After all, nobody ought to ask for this example. Why commerce one thing of worth for a max-salary participant who hasn’t made the playoffs for six seasons?

But when the Pelicans, a group with no different hope, lose hope on Williamson, a participant who embodies nothing however hope, then how can we interpret that? So there isn’t a hope for Zion, and who desires this world?

Willpower: Fiction. There needs to be no commerce marketplace for Zion Williamson. Hope for him lives in New Orleans, even whether it is diminished, and as soon as the Pelicans surrender on their dream, it is solely a matter of time earlier than the league does too.

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