The Toronto Raptors find themselves underdogs at home Friday night against the Golden State Warriors, who are on their second straight night after a victory in New York on Thursday.
Since Toronto has struggled as a home dog (5-8 ATS this season), I prefer to look to the prop market to find some of the best bets in this matchup.
With Immanuel Quickley’s jump shot really happening lately, how should we bet on him tonight?
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Immanuel Quickley OVER 2.5 3-pointers made
Quickley has cleared this prop in four straight games, and he’s doing it with tremendous efficiency for Toronto.
The young point guard made 19 of 37 shots from beyond the arc during that four-game stretch (51.4%), and he made at least seven shots from beyond the arc in every game.
With Dennis Schroder now in Brooklyn, Quickley is truly running the offense and he’s easily getting over 30 minutes a night. I’d be surprised to see his usage decline, so until he calms down, he’s a must bet to make three shots from downtown.
Stephen Curry OVER 8.5 rebounds and assists
This was a prop I bet on against the Knicks, and Steph Curry ended up grabbing a season-high 11 rebounds to clear the prop.
Even though assist numbers have been down for Steph this season – 5.0 per game – he is still averaging 9.3 rebounds and assists per game.
Not only that, but Curry pulled down those rebounds and dished out assists in seven of his last nine games, averaging 4.6 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game during that stretch. There is value at this number on Friday.
Jakob Poeltl OVER 9.5 rebounds
The last time these two teams faced off, Raptors big man Jakob Poeltl pulled down 11 rebounds in just 30:52 of playing time in a blowout victory for Toronto.
He’s now set to over-money to grab 10 rebounds tonight, which is a little low for my liking since he’s grabbed double-digit rebounds in three of his last five games. Since returning from injury, Poeltl is averaging 9.5 rebounds per game over a 12-game stretch.
The Warriors have been solid on the glass this season, but they lack size – playing Draymond Green at center in their new rotation. I think this helps Poeltl grab a few extra rebounds on Friday.
Game odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey’s NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily games on BetStamp here.
