Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers will travel to Fiserv Forum on Monday night to take on Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks, and we offer you our best bet for that matchup using the latest information. NBA Odds.
The Los Angeles Clippers will be at the end of a back-to-back game on Monday, and not just any game. They played a grueling, low-scoring affair against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday, which saw the Clippers emerge victorious with a score of 89-88.
With the Clippers scheduled to make the trip to Milwaukee and face a surging Bucks team, our pick for this matchup might surprise you.
Read on to see my free NBA Pick for Clippers vs Bucks on Monday, March 4.
Clippers vs. Bucks odds
Clippers vs Bucks Predictions
THE Los Angeles Clippers maybe at the back of a back to back, but that’s the injury report of the Milwaukee Bucks It’s no longer in suspense. Aside from Russell Westbrook being out with a fractured hand, the Clippers are ready to roll. However, for the Bucks, Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable with an Achilles tendon injury.
I think the easy narrative for this game between the Bucks and Clippers is to support the Bucks because of the Clippers’ game against the Timberwolves on Sunday. The Clippers will be tired, and it’s a scheduled loss, a tough situation for any team to face the best team in the Western Conference and then the Bucks back-to-back.
Save all that narrative for someone else, because that’s why we have a gap to level the playing field, and with the Clippers grabbing 5.5 points Monday against the Bucks, I think the Clippers offer the best team. The Bucks should be closer to a 4-point favorite against the Clippers, so you get an extra point and a half here by going against the grain and backing the Clippers.
The Clippers don’t have the luxury of sitting players out or not showing up for a game like Eastern Conference teams might. The Western Conference playoff seeding is extremely tight, and if you don’t make it every night, you could find yourself in the Play-In tournament. The Clippers have more cap space than some other teams, but that doesn’t mean you want to give it away.
If the Clippers played the same thing back-to-back in November, my position might be completely different, but the Western Conference is simply too tight to assume any team would throw in the towel.
The strength of the Bucks defense lies in their interior and their ability to protect the rim. The Bucks have really improved their overall defense as of late, as they have the second-best defensive rating in the NBA over the last 10 games at 106.4.
For a team that likes to score in the paint, the Bucks pose a real problem on defense, but the Clippers have 6 players shooting 39.4% from deep or better. Players who can shoot the ball, like Norman Powell or Amir Coffey, should help create space against this Bucks defense and give Kawhi Leonard, Paul GeorgesAnd James Harden more space to operate.
I said earlier that I thought the Bucks should be a 4-point favorite over the Clippers instead of a 5.5-point favorite. If I have the Clippers projected at +4, that means the Clippers +5.5 spread is worth -125 to me, but we can buy it at Caesars at -105, creating a probability spread that we can exploit.
My best bet: Clippers +5.5 (-105 to the Caesars)
Parlay Clippers vs Bucks in the same game
If the Clippers want to cover 5.5 points against the Bucks on Monday, I think we’ll need a big game from Harden. The Bucks currently have one of the best defensive units in the NBA, but their weak point is on offense with Damian Lillard and Malik Beasley. This is an area we will need Harden to exploit and help generate offense for his teammates.
The offense won’t be as easy for George, who should attract Jae Crowder, and Leonard, who should attract Antetokounmpo, as primary defenders. We should see Harden chasing faceoffs against Lillard, working his way through the lane to create open looks around the rim for his bigs and threes for his shooters.
With a total of 16.5, Harden also has a slight Over advantage on his points prop. I think you could also consider using Harden on the Over for his three prop, but I’ll continue with the point prop. I feel like the focus could be on Harden attacking Lillard and forcing him to play defense to the rim, maybe even getting Lillard in trouble, instead of settling for a field goal. three points, especially after Harden went 0 for 6. three on Sunday against the Timberwolves.
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Clippers vs Bucks Spread and Over/Under Analysis
The Bucks opened as 4.5 point favorites at Caesars, and although the spread was as high as Bucks -6, we saw it drop back down to Bucks -5.5. We see many sportsbooks offering the Clippers at +5.5, but Caesars offers the best juice at -105.
The total opened at DraftKings at 230, and it moved to the Under by four and a half points at 225.5. The total has seen a steady decline, without any resistance from the market. I wouldn’t be shocked if we continue to see this number move towards the Under until the market shows some support for the Over and it settles into its closing number.
Clippers vs Bucks betting trend to know
The LA Clippers have reached the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 away games (+11.75 units / 23% return on investment). Find more NBA Betting Trends for Clippers vs. Bucks.
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Clippers vs Bucks Game Information
Location: | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin |
Date: | Monday March 4, 2024 |
Trick : | 8 p.m. ET |
TV: | Bally Sports SoCal, WMLW and Telemundo WI |
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