January 22, 2024; Dallas, Texas, United States; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) drives towards Dallas Mavericks guard Josh Green (8) during the second quarter at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Dieb-USA TODAY Sports
- The Dallas Mavericks visit the Boston Celtics on Friday
- Friday’s NBA odds heavily favor the Celtics on their home court
- Read below for Mavericks vs Celtics predictions, odds and player props for betting
The Dallas Mavericks (34-25) finish their East Coast road trip against the NBA’s best team, the Boston Celtics (46-12), on Friday night. The announcement is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. EST at TD Garden in Boston. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN.
The Celtics are currently 9.5-point favorites at home, according to most sportsbooks. The over/under is set at 237.5 points in total. With two elite attacks, this match has the potential to be a high-scoring affair.
Let’s get into the Mavs vs Celtics odds, as we provide our predictions and player prop picks.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics odds
Team | Spread | Money line | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Dallas Mavericks | +9.5 (-115) | +310 | Over 237.5 (-110) |
Boston Celtics | -9.5 (-105) | -400 | Under 237.5 (-110) |
In Mavericks vs Celtics odds, Boston is a -400 moneyline favoritegiving them an implied win probability of 80%.
This is the second meeting of the season between the two teams, with Boston winning 119-110 against the Mavericks in Dallas on January 22, 2024.
Odds as of March 1, 2024 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim it BetMGM promo code bet on Mavs vs Celtics. Bettors in North Carolina should check BetMGM North Carolina for a special pre-registration offer.
Mavericks Betting Analysis
The Mavericks had lost two straight games before defeating the Raptors. Luka Doncic is on a tear, averaging 34.4 points, 9.7 assists and 8.8 rebounds while scoring 25+ points in nine straight games. Newly acquired Kyrie Irving is averaging over 27 PPG since joining Dallas.
However, the Mavs defense struggled, ranking 20th in opponent PPG (115.9). Rebounding has also been an issue (25th with 41.2 per game). Doncic is questionable for this game due to an ankle injury. If he sits, the Mavericks will rely heavily on Irving’s scoring.
Luka Doncic shoots free throws during the Dallas Mavericks shootaround before facing the Boston Celtics. pic.twitter.com/IkspQP5EXq
– Grant Afseth (@GrantAfseth) March 1, 2024
With his ankle injury, Doncic’s availability is uncertain. But even if he plays, he risks being limited. This puts more pressure on Irving and Dinwiddie to handle point guard duties. Christian Wood (15.5 PPG, 7.9 RPG) gives Dallas an athletic big who can score inside and out. ‘outside.
The Mavericks have been a bettor’s friend of late, covering the spread in eight of their last ten games. The total has gone LESS in 12 of Dallas’ last 18 games.
Celtics Betting Analysis
The Celtics have the best record in the NBA behind their lethal wing duo of Jayson Tatum (31 PPG) and Jaylen Brown (26.5 PPG). Defensively, Boston shut down teams, limiting opponents to just 110 PPG (5th best).
In their last meeting on January 22, Tatum and Brown combined for 73 points to lead the Celtics to a 119-110 road victory over the Mavs. Boston dominated the glass with a decisive 56-28 rebounding advantage in this game.


Tatum inserted himself into the NBA MVP Odds discussion with his two-way brilliance this season. Brown was almost as good, giving Boston arguably the best combo in the NBA. Smart quarterbacks run the offense well and are some of the best perimeter defenders in basketball. Horford remains a rock-solid veteran at 36 years old.
The Celtics aren’t just beating inferior opponents, as they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against a team above .600. The total has been under in 13 of Boston’s last 19 games.
Mavericks vs Celtics Player Accessories
NBA player accessories are now available for the Mavs vs Celtics showdown on Thursday night. Punters are predicting a big night for Luka despite injury uncertainty. The 25-year-old point guard is expected to record 32.5 points and make four three-pointers.
Player | Points | Rebounds | Aids | Three pointers made |
---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic | 32.5 (Ov -111 | Oun -123) | 8.5 (Ov -101 | A -135) | 8.5 (Ov -151 | A +110) | 3.5 (Ov -148 | A +108) |
Jayson Tatum | 26.5 (Ov -108 | Oun -127) | 8.5 (Ov -137 | A +100) | 5.5 (Ov -142 | A +104) | 3.5 (Ov +133 | A -184) |
Kyrie Irving | 24.5 (Ov -123 | Oun -111) | DISABLED | 4.5 (Ov +104 | A -142) | 3.5 (Ov +118 | A -163) |
Jaylen Brown | 22.5 (Ov -108 | Oun -127) | 5.5 (Ov -154 | A +112) | 3.5 (Ov -104 | A -131) | 1.5 (Ov -179 | A +129) |
Kristaps Porzingis | 21.5 (Ov -108 | Oun -127) | 7.5 (Ov +102 | A -139) | 1.5 (Ov -184 | A +133) | 2.5 (Ov +143 | One -199) |
Derrick White | 14.5 (Ov -109 | Oun -125) | 3.5 (Ov -108 | A -127) | 4.5 (Ov -123 | A -111) | 2.5 (Ov -115 | A -119) |
Jrue Vacations | 12.5 (Ov -103 | Oun -133) | 4.5 (Ov -119 | Oun -115) | 5.5 (Ov +102 | A -139) | 1.5 (Ov -142 | A +104) |
PJ Washington | 10.5 (Ov -125 | Oun -109) | 4.5 (Ov -145 | A +106) | 1.5 (Ov -108 | A -127) | 1.5 (Ov +100 | One -137) |
NBA player prop ratings are collected from a variety of top-rated players. NBA Betting Apps.
The NBA player we think is the most valuable is Kristaps Porzingis, who is over 21.5 points against the Mavs. The Mavericks lack size on the interior and Porzingis should feast against undersized centers Daniel Gafford, Derek Lively II and PJ Washington.
KP has scored 22-plus in two straight games and in six of his last eight games dating back to before the All-Star break. The rising star has 23.6 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists in five games against the Mavericks during his career.
Choice of NBA player accessories:
- Kristaps Porzingis over 21.5 points (-108 on BetMGM)
Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction
The red-hot Celtics are firing on all cylinders right now. Their defense and rebounding compete strongly with the Mavericks’ weaknesses. The question is whether the team can cover another big spread against an offense capable of scoring points.
While not yet confirmed, it seems more likely than not that Doncic will be a good fit for Dallas. We still don’t have enough confidence in the team around him to support the Mavs as underdogs. Doncic had 33 points in the first meeting, but the Celtics still won by nine points.
While the rematch will take place in Boston, our projections call for the Celtics to pull off a double-digit win at TD Garden. Not only has Boston lost just three home games all season, but they are 4-0-1 ATS after scoring over 100 points in their previous outing.
DAL-BOS choice:
Brady Trettenero
NHL and NCAAF Editor-in-Chief
Brady is the NHL and college football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has more than 10 years of experience in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.