THE Warriors of the Golden State (36-34) faces the Miami heat (39-32) Tuesday. The Kaseya Center tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sports Betting lines around the Warriors vs. Heat odds and make sure our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat leads 1-0
The Warriors opened their current 5-game road trip with a 114-100 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday as a 2-point underdog. It was their 2nd consecutive defeat and the 3rd in 4 games. They are clinging to the No. 10 seed in the Western Conference for the final play-in spot, leading the Houston Rockets by a half-game.
The Heat have won 4 of their last 6 games and are coming off a 121-84 home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. They are 7th in the East and occupy first place in the play-ins. They trail the No. 6 Indiana Pacers by one game.
Heat rated warriors
Provided by BetMGM Sports Betting; to access USA TODAY Center for Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds for a complete list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Money Line (ML): Warriors -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Heat +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -1.5 (-115) | Heat +1.5 (-105)
- More/Less (Y/U): 218.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Key Injuries for Warriors at Heat
Warriors
- VS Tracey Jackson-Davis (knee) questionable
Heat
- g Tyler Herro (knee) out
- g Jaime Jáquez Jr. (ankle) questionable
- F Kevin Love (heel) questionable
- F Caleb Martin (ankle) questionable
- F Duncan Robinson (come back) outside
For the most recent updates: Official NBA Injury Report.
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Warriors at Heat Picks and Predictions
Prediction
Warriors 108, Heat 104
Money line
In their first meeting this season (Dec. 28), the Heat won 114-102 in San Francisco as a 6.5-point underdog behind Herro’s 26 points. In this game, G Stephen Curry shot only 3 of 15 and had 13 points, and F Green Draymond didn’t play.
This time, Golden State (-135) is healthy, and Miami will be without Herro and Robinson.
The Warriors are 5-3 in their last 8 road games. The Heat have lost 3 of their last 4 home games.
I like the Warriors as a road favorite, and the odds at -135 are good, but the spread odds are slightly better.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Heat are 1-7 ATS as a home underdog this season.
The Warriors are 11-4 ATS when favored on the road.
With only a 1.5 point difference, it’s pretty simple.
WARRIORS BET -1.5 (-115).
More less
The total at the December 28 meeting was 216 points.
The Heat have gone 9 straight games without the total reaching 219.
The Warriors’ last 5 games, and 8 of their last 10, have all had a total of at least 219.
Miami’s opponents have only scored more than 110 points twice in their last 10 games.
BET UNDER 218.5 (-115).
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