Grizzlies vs 76ers Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight

Two injury-strapped teams meet tonight when the Philadelphia 76ers host the relatively safe Memphis Grizzlies. NBA Odds favorites.

Philadelphia, already without a senior MVP Odds favorite Joel Embiid and starter DeAnthony Melton will also be without MIP Ratings Tyrese Maxey on the run – creating a solid betting angle for tonight’s match.

Memphis began his season by quickly diving from the largest injured tree in the forest, hitting every branch possible on the way down.

Check out how I bet on this game with my Grizzlies vs. 76ers free NBA picks for Wednesday March 6.

Grizzlies vs. 76ers odds

Grizzlies vs. 76ers Predictions

These two teams are going to be shells of their former selves tonight. THE 76ers, against their two best players and driving forces in attack. THE Grizzliesdown just about everyone — Luc Kennard starts at point guard.

While it doesn’t make for as compelling a basketball game, it does create value in the form of Tobias Harris oddsas he will have the greenest nod for the Sixers tonight.

We see his total trading at 20.5, relatively unattractive for an Over bet, which strikes me as depressed for several reasons. First, and most importantly, Harris spent most of February mired in a shooting slump. He only averaged 14.8 points per game on 42.6% shooting, and that got particularly ugly toward the end, so recency bias is strong. This made headlines, mostly because the Sixers were losing (which probably had more to do with their MVP candidate being injured, but, you know, semantics).

There’s absolutely no reason to assume this trend will continue for Harris, who is averaging 25.7 points per game on nearly 60 percent shooting in three March games (including two with Maxey) and is generally one of the most consistent and efficient scorers in the NBA when given the opportunity.

Opportunity is something he’ll have barrels of tonight with Maxey entering the concussion protocol. Maxey recorded a utilization rate of 30.7% in February; which equates to a Top-10 rate this season. Harris thinks he sees the lion’s share of these liberated looks, less irregular than Kelly Oubre Jr.and better for creating your own looks than Buddy Hield.

The potential absence of Grizzlies defensive stalwart Jaren Jackson Jr., who didn’t play in any of their three March games, makes things better for Harris, still considered questionable for tonight. Memphis might opt ​​to keep Jackson sidelined in a secret tank, especially now that Toronto (two games up) is losing Scottie Barnes for weeks and is in danger of falling in the standings.

Reigning DPOY Jackson is the only thing that even closely resembles a rotation-level rim protector remaining on this injury-ravaged roster: people like Santi Aldama And Lamar Stevens will not deter any kind of penetration.

For the season, the Grizzlies are also allowing a bottom-10 conversion rate from beyond the arc, so they won’t be particularly good at stopping long balls either. While I have to give these little ones credit for their efforts where they’re due — No. 10 in defensive rating over the last 10 games — this is a spot where Harris should see 20-plus attempts after Oubre takes the most shots last night and the 76ers lost. to the discouraged Nets.

Look for Nick Nurse to return to the closest thing to bread and butter tonight, as the Sixers desperately need every win they can get.

My best bet: Tobias Harris Over 20.5 points (-113 at FanDuel)

Grizzlies vs. 76ers in the same game

Tobias Harris Over 20.5 points

Buddy Hield 3+ threesomes made

In addition to Harris’ Over points, we’re asking Hield to score three or more points, which he did in nine of 11 games as a Sixer, despite, again, playing the majority of these minutes with Maxey and his enormous use. .

The extra shots should more than help make up for the slow pace at which this match is likely to be played, and while I don’t feel confident adding a side or full pick to this SGP with JJJ’s status still uncertain for the Grizzlies, I don’t either. I don’t think low scoring and Harris/Hield wiping out those totals are mutually exclusive.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Grizzlies vs 76ers spread and Over/Under analysis

Most books opened this gap in the 5-point range, and although there was little initial movement, public money slowly pushed up to a stable level of 76ers -6, with some books being bought back after a change to -6.5.

The uncertain status of Jackson – by far Memphis’ best active player – makes this split difficult to manage, especially with the plucky Grizzlies at 6-3 ATS in their last nine games: seemingly not ready to turn around and to die for now. . Covers consensusseems pretty confident though, with 74% of bettors backing the Sixers.

We see a slightly shaded total of 211.5 compared to the Under, which makes sense given that both offenses will be without most of their artillery and neither has played at a fast pace lately time. The total opened between 210.5 and 214, oscillating between rogue numbers before settling at consensus midway through Wednesday morning.

Despite its defensive ethic and depleted rotation, it’s worth noting that Memphis has been printing against low totals of late, going 8-4-1 against the Over in its last 13 games, following a streak of six Unders in seven games for the start of February.

Grizzlies vs 76ers betting trend to know

The Grizzlies have reached the team total Over in only 29 of their last 77 games (-25.95 units/-29% ROI). Find more NBA Betting Trends for the Grizzlies against the 76ers.

Grizzlies vs. 76ers Game Info

Latest Grizzlies injuries vs. 76ers

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