The Minnesota Timberwolves defense has led the way for the team this year, especially at home, and our NBA betting picks expect Rudy Gobert & Co. to flex their muscles when they host the Sacramento Kings at Target Center Friday evening.
The Sacramento Kings will face the Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Friday night. There’s a youth movement in the West with the Timberwolves atop the conference standings with a 42-17 record and Sacramento on the verge of returning to the playoffs for the second straight season after a 15-year absence.
However, bettors expect the Kings to fail tonight with NBA Odds installing the T-Wolves as 6.5-point home favorites. Here are my best free ones NBA Pick and predictions for Kings vs. Timberwolves for Friday, March 1.
Kings vs. Timberwolves odds
Kings vs Timberwolves Predictions
Both teams’ top scorers are listed as questionable but with NBA player accessories available for both De’Aaron Fox And Anthony Edwards, expect both to adapt. But even if Fox and Edwards each end up playing, don’t expect a high-scoring contest tonight.
While the Kings of Sacramento have a lot of shots on goal at home where they average 121.6 points per game and give up 120.8, they see much lower totals in away games. In fact, the Kings’ road games have averaged 230.7 points per game this season.
Now they face a Minnesota Timberwolves team that leads the NBA in opponent’s field goal percentage (44.8%) and scoring defense (106.3 points per game). Those numbers get even better at Target Center, where they hold opponents to just 102.4 points per game on 42.4 percent shooting.
Another reason to like the Under is that both teams do a great job on the defensive glass (the Kings lead the league in defensive rebounding rate while the T-Wolves are fourth) but are below average in terms of offensive rebounding.
The Kings make a ton of shots from beyond the arc with their 3-point rate of 43.5%, fourth highest in the league. While they shoot a sizzling 38.7% from deep at home, that number drops to 35.7% on the road. They’ll likely struggle in that area against a T-Wolves team that’s holding foes to 32.4 3PT% in Minnesota.
With Rudy Gobert protecting the hoop, the T-Wolves clog the paint and don’t allow teams to reach the rim. Expect scoring droughts for Sacramento and take the under 225 here.
My best bet: Less than 225 (-110 at DraftKings)
Parlay Kings vs Timberwolves in the same game
Less than 224.5
De’Aaron Fox Under 2.5 made 3s
Rudy Gobert double-double – Yes
Fox can fill the hoop, but he has struggled recently pushing down shots from beyond the arc. He’s made 3-pointers under 2.5 in 11 of his last 14 games and is shooting just 29.7 percent from deep over that span. With the T-Wolves allowing a record 10.5 treys at home this season, this step makes too much sense here.
Gobert is coming off a game against the Grizzlies where he had eight points and eight rebounds in 27 minutes. However, he was limited by an ankle injury that made him questionable. He is not on the IL for tonight’s game and a healthy Gobert should get plenty of playing time against Kings star center Domantas Sabonis.
Before that quiet performance against Memphis, Gobert had recorded a double-double in nine straight games. He also had 21 points and 17 rebounds when he faced Sabonis and Sacramento in December.
Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Spread Kings vs Timberwolves and Over/Under analysis
This line hit the board with the Timberwolves at -6.5 and the O/U at 222.5. At 2:00 p.m. ET, the spread did not move, but money entered higher, bringing the total to 225.
The Timberwolves have been one of the biggest surprises in the league and have the best record in the West at 42-17 and 22-6 at home. They are 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in their last eight games, but have failed to become double-digit favorites in each of their last two contests.
The Kings are 33-25, but they haven’t been impressive lately, going 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. In their last game, they were missing Fox and lost 117-96 to Denver on the road.
Kings vs Timberwolves betting trend to know
The Kings have reached the under total in 24 of their last 38 away games (+10.80 units / 26% return on investment). Find more NBA Betting Trends for Kings vs. Timberwolves.
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Kings vs. Timberwolves Game Info
| Location: | Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota |
| Date: | Friday March 1, 2024 |
| Trick : | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Sports North, NBCSCA |
Kings’ latest injuries vs. Timberwolves
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