THE Dallas Mavericks (34-28) welcome the Miami heat (35-26) at the American Airlines Center on Thursday. The alert is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sports Betting lines around the Heat vs. Mavericks odds and make sure our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; the teams split 2 games last season, each winning on the road
The Mavericks lost to the Indiana Pacers 137-120 on Tuesday, falling short as a 5.5-point home favorite. They have lost 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6. Dallas is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 and 32-30 ATS this season. The Mavericks are led by G Luka Doncicwho averages 34.6 points, 9.0 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.
The Heat defeated the Detroit Pistons 118-110 on Tuesday, failing to rank as an 11-point home favorite. Miami has been playing very well lately, winning 7 of their last 8 games and covering 6 of those 8. The Heat are 30-30-1 ATS this season. They are led by F Jimmy Butlerwho averages 21.9 points.
Heat alongside the Mavericks
Provided by FanDuel Sports Betting; to access USA TODAY Center for Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds for a complete list. Lines last updated at 6:03 a.m. ET.
- Money Line (ML): Heat +166 (bet $100 to win $166) | Mavericks -198 (bet $198 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +5 (-114) | Mavericks -5 (-106)
- More/Less (Y/U): 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Mavericks’ main injuries
Heat
- g Tyler Herro (foot) outside
- g Caleb Martin (inch) available
Nonconformists
- g Luka Doncic (ankle) probable
- F Maxi Kleber (knee) probable
- VS Derek Lively II (nose) available
For the most recent updates: Official NBA Injury Report.
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Heat at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 114, Heat 111
Money line
PASS.
The Mavericks are home and have their key personnel active. They should win, but at -198 there is no point betting on the home team.
Against the spread
LEAN HEAT +5 (-114).
Simply put, the Heat have won for the bettors while the Mavs have lost for them in recent weeks. Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and 3-6 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Miami has covered 6 straight games on the road and 6 straight as an underdog. He also has strong defenders to limit how easily Doncic and G Kyrie Irving can work in painting.
Given these trends, let’s return HEAT +5 (-114).
More less
BET UNDER 231.5 (-110).
If there’s one thing both teams did late, it was hit the Under. The Heat haven’t cracked the top 106 in 2 of their last 4 games and are 3-5 O/U in their last 8 games. They are 24-37 O/U on the season.
The Mavs have gone under in 5 of their last 9 games and are 31-31 O/U this season. While the problem lately has been Dallas’ defense allowing at least 120 in 6 straight games, the Heat are 28th in pace and won’t be pushing the pace this game.
With this in mind, let’s return UNDER 231.5 (-110).
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