THE Toronto Raptors will welcome the New York Knicks Wednesday at Scotiabank Arena. Tip-off takes place at 7:30 p.m. ET.
The Knicks are 12.5 point favorites and the game total is 209.5 points.
New York (43-28 SU, 37-31-3 ATS and 27-44 O/U) beat Detroit 124-119 on Monday. The Knicks are 19-15 SU and 18-14-2 ATS on the road in the 2023-24 season.
Toronto (23-49 SU, 32-40 ATS and 34-38 O/U) lost 96-88 to Brooklyn on Monday. The Raptors are 13-23 SU and ATS at home.
Injury report
Knicks: SF OG Anunoby (14.9 PPG and 4.3 RPG) is released and SG Alex Burks (11.1 PPG) is questionable.
Raptors: PF Chris Boucher (6.4 PPG and 4.1 RPG) and C Jontay Poter (4.4 PPG and 3.2 RPG) are released.
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NY has won six of its last seven games
New York averages 111.8 points per game (23rd) and shoots 46.1 percent (26th), including 36.2 percent from three-point range (18th). NY converts 78.3 percent of its free throw attempts (13th) and averages 45.7 rebounds per game (5th). The Knicks also average 23.9 assists (29th) and 13.3 turnovers per game (15th).
New York is giving up 107.8 points per game (2nd), and its opponents are shooting 46.8 percent (9th), including 36.6% from deep (17th), with 40.6 rebounds per game (2nd). The Knicks average 4.1 blocks (28th), 7.3 steals per game (18th) and 17.7 fouls per game (5th).
New York ranks 13th in offensive rating, 7th in defensive rating and 30th in pace (schedule-adjusted), according to Dunks and Threes.
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Toronto won once in March
Toronto averages 113.1 points per game (19th) and shoots 47.4 percent (15th), including 35.2 percent from three-point range (26th). He converts 74.8 percent of his free throw attempts (29th) and averages 43.1 rebounds per game (18th). The Raptors also average 29.1 assists (5th) and 13.8 turnovers per game (18th).
Toronto is giving up 118.1 points per game (24th), and its opponents are shooting 48.8 percent (23rd), including 37.4 percent from deep (23rd), with 45.1 rebounds per game (26th). The Raptors average 4.9 blocks (17th), 7.8 steals per game (9th) and 18.3 fouls per game (9th).
Toronto ranks 24th in offensive rating, 24th in defensive rating and 14th in tempo (schedule-adjusted), according to Dunks and Threes.
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Best bets for this game
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Toronto plays without Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poetl, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley and three others tomorrow, but does it still have a chance to cover the 12.5 point spread? Perhaps the better question is how will they stop Knicks guard Donte DiVincenzo?
The New York sharpshooter scored a career-high 40 points on Monday, knocking down a team-high 11 three-pointers. 20 of his 23 field goal attempts came from beyond the arc, putting him eight threes short of the most three-pointers by a Knick since Evan Fournier hit 241 in the during the 2021-22 season. He’s not the only Knickerbocker to pose a problem for the Raptors.
Jalen Brunson scored 28 points on Monday and Josh Hart notched his sixth triple-double (11 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists) since January. The backbone of New York’s team has chemistry from his college days at Villanova, which makes the Knicks a tough team to play against, regardless of location. They’re going to bury this depleted Raptors roster in three-point range, mixing in dunks and the occasional layup.
I’m betting the chemistry will reappear on Wednesday, giving New York enough juice to win and become a heavy favorite against tanking Toronto.
Prediction: Knicks -12.5
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Betting Trends: The underscore is 27-13 when the Knicks are betting favorites (9-4 when they are road favorites). The under score is also 13-6 when the Raptors are home underdogs.
That total is low considering how hot the Knicks were on Monday (124 points on 51 percent shooting), but not surprising given New York’s pace of play and the number of players Toronto was missing. The slowest team in the NBA, the Knicks will use their stout defense and methodical offense toward a dominant victory on Wednesday, preventing the Raptors from reaching the 100-point mark. As effective as they were against Detroit, I’m not predicting another standout performance from New York on the road either. The Knicks have been held to 107 points or fewer in nine of their previous ten games, averaging 100.4 points per game in the nine games before Detroit’s loss on Monday.
Prediction: Under 209.5
