THE Oklahoma City Thunder (49-20, 40-29 ATS, 38-30-1 O/U) meet the Milwaukee Bucks (45-25, 31-38-1 ATS, 34-34-2 O/U) in an inter-conference matchup Sunday afternoon. The Thunder picked up a road win against the Raptors on Friday. The Bucks picked up a home win against the Nets on Thursday. The Bucks went 2-0 against Oklahoma City last season.
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Oklahoma City seeks fifth straight victory
The Oklahoma City Thunder are aiming for a fifth straight victory. Oklahoma City continues to prove that they are one of the best teams in the entire NBA. They are a half-game ahead of the Nuggets at the top of the division. The team posted a convincing road win over the Jazz on Wednesday and was pegged as a heavy 17-point favorite in a dominant 123-103 road win over the Raptors on Friday. The Thunder have only covered the spread in one of their last five games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to dazzle, collecting at least 30 points in three of his last five games. The 25-year-old point guard is having an incredible season, averaging 30.8 PPG, which ranks him second in the NBA with 54% shooting. Jalen Williams is also producing consistently, putting up at least 20 points in three of his last four games. The 22-year-old forward scored 20 points on Friday and increased his season average to 19.2 PPG and 4 RPG. Luguentz Dort has scored in double figures in four of his last five fights, including 10 on Friday. The 24-year-old guard reported an average of 10.8 PPG.
Oklahoma City is 4-1 in their last five road contests, including a win against the Trail Blazers. They only covered two games in that span. Oklahoma City has scored at least 119 points in three of its last five games and is averaging 120.7 points this season, good for third place. They concede an average of 112.9 points, which places them 13th.
Bucks bounce back in win over Nets
The Milwaukee Bucks are aiming for a second straight victory. Milwaukee is facing the Cavaliers for first place in the Central division. They are just two games ahead of the Cavs who enter action on Saturday. The Bucks have won three of their last four games. The Celtics handed them a loss on Wednesday and Milwaukee was a 10-point favorite in a 115-108. home victory against the Nets on Thursday. The Bucks have covered the spread in three of their last five games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is in the right direction, accumulating at least 30 points in four of its last five matchups. The 29-year-old power forward scored 21 points on Thursday and averaged 30.7 PPG to go along with 11.2 RPG on the season. Damian Lillard scored 30 points in Thursday’s win. The veteran point guard reached at least 30 points five times this month and averaged 24.6 PPG on the year. Khris Middleton made her return last weekend after disappearing for over a month. The 32-year-old small forward scored 22 points on Friday and is now averaging 15.1 PPG.
The Bucks are dominant at home where they have gone 5-0 in their last five games, covering four games in that span. This is highlighted by a victory against the Suns. Milwaukee has scored 119 points or fewer in four of their last five games and is averaging 120.6 points on the year, which places them fourth. They hold their opponents to an average of 117.2 points, placing them in 21st place.
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The Oklahoma City Thunder are in the right direction, as are the Bucks. The Bucks are an experienced team that will be ready for this matchup against another elite team. Milwaukee has won five straight home games and is now 28-7 at home this season.
In addition, Oklahoma City benefited from a rather light schedule. Their last three games all came against teams that didn’t have a playoff spot. The Bucks are just two games ahead of the Cavs at the top of the division and this is a game they need to win. The Bucks have covered four of their last five home games, with each of their last five home wins coming by at least seven points.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -2.5
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I expect a shootout. These teams play at a fast pace. Oklahoma City is seventh while the Bucks are fifth. Oklahoma City leads the NBA with a dazzling 39.2% three-point shooting. They have averaged 118 points in their last five away games.
Additionally, Milwaukee prefers to shoot threes, attempting an average of 38.1 three-pointers per game, which ranks them fifth. This is key because the Thunder are mediocre when it comes to defending the three, ranking 13th. Milwaukee has averaged 121 points in its last five home games. The score is 3-0-1 in the Bucks’ last four games.
Prediction: Over 231