Two of the NBA’s most potent offenses face off in Oklahoma City as the Thunder host the Pacers. Inflated totals are the order of the day and the Under may indeed be in play, but there is better value available in alternative markets.
The Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder will look to earn their fourth straight victory when they host the Indiana Pacers at the Paycom Center tonight.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead OKC’s offense, scoring 30-plus points in 10 of his last 12 games heading into tonight’s matchup with the Thunder listed as a favorite in the NBA Odds.
Will SGA put on another show against Indiana? I will look forward to this and much more in my Pacers vs. Thunder NBA Pick and forecast for Tuesday March 12.
Pacers vs. Thunder odds
Pacers vs Thunder Predictions
It was a short but sweet night for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in his final game Sunday as he dropped a team-high 23 points in just 27 minutes to lead the Oklahoma City Thunder to an easy 124-93 victory over the Grizzlies.
SGA comes into Tuesday with at least 30 points scored in 10 of its last 12 games and over 35 points in three of its last five games, so I’ll make sure it stays hot and drops over 32.5 points against the Indiana Pacers.
The potential NBA MVP This month, he’s averaging just over 20 field goal attempts per game, including 23 or more in three of his last five games. That high-volume approach should pay off for Gilgeous-Alexander against the Pacers, who rank second-to-last in the NBA in opponent field goals made per game this season (45.1).
Indiana’s league-leading offense has been able to overcome its defensive woes for the most part, but the Pacers’ weakness in their own half is something SGA can exploit en route to another big performance . The Pacers are allowing 121.5 points per game – second worst in the NBA – and have allowed more than 115 points in six of their last 10 games.
Indiana could also be without Jalen Smith (illness), who ranks third on the team in defensive rating (118.1) – not a huge item for the Pacers but another potential weakness in their already weak defensive armor.
My best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 points (-115 at DraftKings)
Parlay Pacers vs Thunder in the same game
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 points
Pascal Siakam More than 20.5 points
Less than 238
In addition to getting SGA to over 32.5 points, I will also be looking for Pascal Siakam have a big night for the Pacers and concede the Over by 20.5 points. With Bennedict Mathurin out for the season, Siakam will be Indiana’s primary scorer. He’s scored 20+ points in seven of his last 10 games and will get plenty of touches tonight.
The Pacers (122.9 points per game) and Thunder (120.8 points per game) are the first and third highest scoring teams in the NBA, but have been surprisingly slow of late, averaging just 113, 2 and 116.2 points per game, respectively, in March. As a result, I will go with the Under to complete my parlay in the same match.
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Pacers vs Thunder Spread and Over/Under Analysis
The Thunder opened as 6.5-point favorites in the field, while tonight’s total opened at 238.5 points. I like OKC to cover the spread while cashing the Under.
Oklahoma City has the second-best average margin in the NBA at +8 and has won by at least seven points in each of its last 12 victories. The Thunder have been hot with 10 wins in their last 12 games while also going 8-4 ATS over that span.
The Pacers, meanwhile, have calmed down with three wins in their last seven games while posting a 3-4 ATS record in those contests. Indiana has lost by at least eight points in six of its last seven losses and will likely feel the loss of Mathurin, who has been its most important player off the bench.
While this looks like a potentially high-octane matchup between two of the NBA’s premier offenses on paper, there could be key offensive pieces on both sides. While Mathurin finished the season, Smith is questionable due to illness for Indiana, and Jalen Williams (ankle) — OKC’s second-leading scorer — is also a question mark.
The Pacers, in particular, have played low-scoring basketball, recording under 112 points in four of their last five games, while going under in 10 of their last 13 outings.
Pacers vs Thunder betting trend to know
The Under is 16-4 in Indiana’s last 20 road games. Find more NBA Betting Trends for Pacers vs. Thunder.
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Pacers vs. Thunder Game Info
| Location: | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date: | Tuesday March 12, 2024 |
| Trick : | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Sports OK, Bally Sports Indiana |
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