It’s simple. The Hawks can’t stop anyone from scoring and Brandon Ingram is the Pelicans’ most prolific scorer. Even on the road, the New Orleans forward can’t be ruled out with a relatively low total against one of the worst defenses in the league.

March 10, 2024 • 2:39 p.m. ET

• 4 minutes of reading

As the Atlanta Hawks aim to keep their NBA Play-In tournament hopes alive without Trae Young in the lineup, Quin Snyder & Co. will face a difficult task as the New Orleans Pelicans travel to State Farm Arena tonight.

With a healthy starting lineup, the NBA Odds having New Orleans as a seven-point road favorite against a Hawks team that has won three in a row. But Atlanta will have its hands full with the Pelicans’ offensive talent.

Find out where my best bets lie in our NBA Pick and predictions for the Pelicans vs. Hawks on Sunday, March 10.

Pelicans vs. Hawks odds

Pelicans vs Hawks Predictions

Since being traded to New Orleans Pelicans of the Los Angeles Lakers, Brandon Ingram has become one of the best second fiddles in the Western Conference. The former No. 2 overall pick out of Duke hasn’t been a perennial All-Star, but he’s still a scoring threat.

Ingram is averaging over 21 points in his fifth season with the Pels while once again completing perfectly Zion Williamson. The two former Blue Devils helped put New Orleans in playoff position for the second time in three seasons.

With just over a month left in the regular season, New Orleans is thriving with four wins in their last five games and a 12-4 record since January 31. To continue to have good times in the Big Easy, the Pelicans have what it takes. be an easier match against one Atlanta Falcons team against All-Star point guard Trae Young.

Between Atlanta’s defensive struggles and Ingram’s ability to stand out, the 26-year-old is poised to perform at his best at State Farm Arena and surpass his career total by 20.5 points.

The Hawks have one of the worst defenses in the NBA, giving up third place in most points per game (121.5) due to the fourth-worst defensive rating (119.8). As bad as the defense is, it’s even worse against shooters like Ingram.

Although his scoring is down slightly this season (21.6 points per game), Ingram is one of only two New Orleans players to play more than 20 minutes and shoot at least 49% from the floor, 36% from three and 80% from the open field. throwing line (Herbert Jones being the other).

This ability to score from mid-range or deep will come in handy against the Hawks. Atlanta is among the worst teams in the NBA against the three, giving up 14 per game (27th in the league) and allowing teams to shoot 38.3% from behind the arc (28th). But it doesn’t get much better as you get closer to the net.

The Hawks are 27th in the NBA in 2-point percentage allowed (56.8%) and their poor defensive play lends itself well to opponents making a lot of shots. Atlanta has the seventh-most shots against its defense per game in the NBA (91.4) and the fourth-most shots taken (45.1). Ingram should have the volume of shots necessary to reach the Over.

He also leads the Pelicans in minutes per game (33.2) and is second in usage rate in New Orleans by the slimmest of margins – Williamson is at 27.6% and Ingram is at 27.3%. So the opportunities and touches will be there for Ingram to find looks against this struggling Hawks defense.

My best bet: Brandon Ingram Over 20.5 points (-110 on bet365)

Pelicans vs. Hawks in the same game

Brandon Ingram Over 20.5 points

Herbert Jones Over 1.5 made three

Zion Williamson Over 1.5 steals + blocks

Between the Hawks’ poor perimeter defense and Jones’ consistency as a shooter, he’s in line for a big night behind the arc. Jones takes just 3.6 threes per game but shoots 43.5% from deep.

Against this Atlanta defense, he’ll have enough good looks to hit at least two triples. The Hawks are giving up the most three-pointers in the league to small forwards this season (3.17). While Ingram and Jones can stifle this Hawks defense, Williamson can stifle its offense.

The Hawks allow the fifth-most steals per game (1.49) and the seventh-most blocks (1.27) to power forwards. This should allow Williamson to add to his season average of 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks. He’s coming off back-to-back games with at least three steals and blocks combined.

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Pelicans vs. Hawks Breakdown and Over/Under Analysis

As the Hawks continue to deal with Young’s absence, the Pelicans have ranked as 5.5-point favorites in most books. Heading into tipoff, the Pels were favored by eight points, but the line has since dropped to -7.

New Orleans has been one of the best teams in the NBA against the spread, going 35-27-1, and is 4-1 in its last five games. The Hawks, on the other hand, are the worst ATS team in the NBA at 22-41, but have covered three games in a row. In the previous game these two teams played in November, the Hawks covered the spread to -2.

The game total started at 222.5 and saw little movement, with most books shifting only 0.5 points in either direction. The Pelicans haven’t been a strong team this season, going 28-34-1, but the Hawks are among the best with a 33-29-1 record. In the November match, the Under scored a total of 237.5.

Pelicans vs Hawks betting trend to know

The Atlanta Hawks have reached Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 home games (+9.70 units / 23% ROI). Find more NBA Betting Trends for the pelicans against the hawks.

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Pelicans vs. Hawks Game Info

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
Date: Sunday March 10, 2024
Trick : 6:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally New Orleans, Peachtree TV

Pelicans’ latest injuries vs. Hawks

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