THE Philadelphia 76ers I will visit the Los Angeles Clippers Sunday at Crypto.com Arena. Tip-off from Los Angeles is at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Philly (38-32 SU, 37-32-1 ATS and 34-34-2 O/U) lost 101-94 to the LA Lakers on Friday. The 76ers are 17-17 SU and 18-16 ATS on the road this season. They are eighth in the Eastern Conference standings.
LA (44-25 SU, 34-35 ATS and 31-38 O/U) beat Portland 125-117 on Friday. The Clippers are 22-11 SU and 16-17 ATS at home. They are fourth in the Western Conference standings.
This is the first meeting between the Sixers and the Clippers this season.
Injury report
76ers: C Kai Jones (hamstring) is questionable.
Clippers: SG Norman Powell (leg), SF PJ Tucker (calf) and PF Daniel Theis (knee) are questionable.
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Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last ten games
Philadelphia is averaging 114.4 points per game (15th) and shooting 46.3 percent (22nd), including 35.5 percent from three-point range (21st). Philly converts 82.5 percent of its free throw attempts (3rd) and averages 42.6 rebounds per game (20th). The 76ers also average 24.6 assists (27th) and 11.8 turnovers per game (1st).
Philadelphia is allowing 112.2 points per game (9th), and its opponents are shooting 47.1 percent (13th), including 35.5 percent from deep (6th), with 44.7 rebounds per game (24th). The Sixers average 5.8 blocks (8th), 8.6 steals per game (1st) and 20.6 fouls per game (27th).
Philadelphia ranks 14th in offensive rating, 12th in defensive rating and 18th in pace (schedule-adjusted), according to Dunks and Threes.
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Are the Clippers good or great?
Los Angeles averages 116.6 points per game (12th) and shoots 49.2 percent (6th), including 38.8 percent from three-point range (3rd). LA converts 82.0 percent of its free throw attempts (4th) and averages 42.6 rebounds per game (21st). The Clippers also average 25.7 assists (20th) and 13.1 turnovers per game (12th).
Los Angeles is giving up 112.5 points per game (10th), and its opponents are shooting 46.9 percent (10th), including 36.5 percent from deep (14th), with 41.9 rebounds per game (5th). The Clippers average 5.2 blocks (13th), 7.9 steals per game (6th) and 18.7 fouls per game (14th).
Los Angeles ranks 3rd in offensive rating, 13th in defensive rating and 22nd in pace (schedule-adjusted), according to Dunks and Threes.
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Rating:
The Clippers haven’t been playing their best basketball lately. They are 1-3 ATS in their last four games, although they have faced Portland (twice) and Atlanta in three of those games, and are 3-7 ATS in their last ten matches. I won’t pick them to cover the spread tomorrow against a Philadelphia team still in contention for playoff positioning, even without Joel Embiid.
Tyrese Maxey will run the show on Sunday, attacking the Clippers’ guards off the dribble. The Sixers general has scored 30 points in three of his last five games and is coming off a 27-point performance against the Lakers. Although they are not at full strength, Philadelphia is efficient enough to keep pace on offense and ranks first in the league in interceptions. If he can force enough turnovers to score at least 15 points off Los Angeles’ miscues, he’ll cover the spread.
Prediction: Sixers will cover
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I’m betting on Philly to push Los Angeles for four quarters and cover the spread tomorrow, which means I’ll also bet on the over. The under is 7-0-1 in the Sixers’ last eight games, but they will buck that trend against a Clippers team that has played down its competition recently. Additionally, it is 5-2 in Los Angeles’ last seven games.
LA should have a lot of success from beyond the arc (3rd in 3PT%) and from the midrange (5th in midrange FG), and Philly’s defense is vulnerable at the rim (17th in opponent FG). On the other side of the court, Philadelphia will attack Los Angeles from three-point range (15th in opponent 3PT%) and force turnovers that lead to transition points.
Prediction: More
