Both the Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks have championship rosters on paper, but there are still many unanswered questions regarding both. Either way, our NBA picks expect the Suns’ big three to make a statement on Sunday.
It’s a question mark battle of contenders when the Phoenix Suns visit the Milwaukee Bucks. That question mark also includes the availability of Giannis Antetokounmpo, which will be a game-time decision (hamstring).
The Suns are seventh in the West but are undoubtedly the team no one wants to deal with in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. They are currently two-point road dogs in the NBA Odds against Milwaukee, which, barring a major collapse, will hold a Top 3 seed in the East.
The home team will welcome back Khris Middleton, but will that help swing the decision in their favor? Keep reading for my free NBA picks for the Suns vs Bucks on March 17.
Suns vs. Bucks odds
Suns vs. Bucks Predictions
THE Phoenix Suns have won four of their last six games, with both losses coming to Boston.
The Suns put the stranglehold on Charlotte last time out in a 107-96 victory — just the fourth time Phoenix has held an opponent to fewer than 100 points all season. Phoenix will hope its defense makes the trip to Wisconsin, as it held the Hornets to just 37.2 percent shooting from the field and a paltry 6-for-37 from distance.
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks are one of the top 4 teams in the NBA, scoring 120.4 points per game – one of four teams scoring above the 120 point plateau. This offense has been disappointing as of late, as Milwaukee had lost three of four, scoring under 95 in two of those games.
The Bucks are now averaging 108.8 points per game in their last five games and have only topped 120+ once in those contests. This will be the second and final meeting between these teams this year, with the Suns winning at home 114-106 on February 6.
Milwaukee suffered the full brunt of the beast of the Phoenix Big Three, with Kevin Durant, Bradley BealAnd Devin Booker combine for 85 points – but Damien Lillard had gone out and Khris Middleton I had just come back from an injury.
The Bucks’ main concerns are bringing their defense up to acceptable contender standards and preparing Middleton for a deep playoff push. I think these will factors will continue to affect a flagging offense as they face one of the best scoring trios in the NBA – with or without Giannis Antetokounmpo.
My best bet: Suns +2 (-110 at DraftKings)
Parlay Suns vs Bucks in the same game
Suns +2
Grayson Allen Over 2.5 made three
Jusuf Nurkic Less than 11.5 rebounds
Grayson Allen may have the sharpest looks of any guard in the NBA, and he makes hay. Allen went 3-for-9 from distance against the Hornets, giving him three straight games crossing his 2.5 line and five of his last six.
If his attempt volume continues – Allen is making 8.2 attempts per game over his last six – he should face his former club.
Suns big man Jusuf Nurkic has been a card machine with back-to-back 20-plus rebound performances against the Hornets and Celtics, while surpassing the 11.5 rebound line set for Sunday five times in seven games.
So why am I taking him to Under? Milwaukee is the second-best defensive rebounding team in the NBA, with a frontcourt consisting of Giannis and Brook LopezAnd Bobby Portis holding the fort in a reserve role.
Nurk’s recent run of success has brought that total high enough that I’m comfortable seeing him fall under the number against the Bucks.
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Suns vs Bucks Spread and Over/Under Analysis
The gap was as high as 4.5 points, but Giannis’ uncertainty forced the sites back into the 2.0 to 2.5 point range.
The Suns are among the worst coverage teams in basketball, going just 26-39-2 against the spread. The Bucks are just a few spots higher, with a below-average mark of 29-37-1 against the spread.
Once reaching 232.5 points, the total mainly fluctuates between 229 and 230 points. Both teams have winning Under records: Phoenix is 38-29-0, while the Bucks have seen the Under go 34-31-2 this year.
Suns vs Bucks betting trend to know
The Under has struck in the last three meetings between these teams. Find more NBA Betting Trends for the Suns against the Bucks.
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Suns vs. Bucks Game Info
| Location: | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin |
| Date: | Sunday March 17, 2024 |
| Trick : | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV: |
ABC |
Suns’ latest injuries vs. Bucks
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