Thunder vs Trail Blazers Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight

The Oklahoma City Thunder will look to bounce back from their second loss in three games when they visit the depleted Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday night.

Oklahoma City (42-19) is still in the race for the top seed in the Western Conference, but sits a half-game behind the Minnesota Timberwolves after these recent losses. Portland (17-43) has lost eight of 10 and will likely finish with the second-worst record in the conference ahead of the San Antonio Spurs.

The Thunder is a big favorite on the road in the NBA Odds tonight, but the line makes a lot of sense considering how close Portland comes into this game. We’ll break down the match in our free NBA Pick and predictions for Thunder vs. Trail Blazers on Wednesday, March 6.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers odds

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Predictions

On the best days, the Portland Trail Blazers are not up to the task Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have won two of the first three meetings between these teams this year, and the two victories came by 43 and 62 points, respectively. It wouldn’t be impossible for the Trail Blazers to compete at home — they got that one win and showed resilience against some of the league’s best teams this year — but it would be an uphill battle.

Unfortunately for the Blazers, they won’t even have all their weapons until tonight’s game. Scoot Henderson (12.9 points per game) was ruled out for Wednesday with a foot injury. Deandre Ayton (14.3 points per game) is doubtful due to a wrist problem. Jerami Grant (21.1 ppg), Toumani Camara (7.2 ppg) and Matisse Thybulle (5.3 ppg) are all questionable, while Malcolm Brogdon (15.7 ppg) is already absent for a month.

Starting guard Anfernée Simons (22.7 points per game) will face Portland tonight. The question is exactly who else can take the court with them. And against a team as talented as the Thunder, that’s a recipe for disaster.

Oklahoma City will bring a largely healthy roster to tonight’s game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1 points per game) leads one of the best offensive units in the NBA, averaging 120.9 points per night. Young stars Jalen Williams (19.1 ppg) and Chet Holmgren (17.1 ppg) still seem to be getting better every day, and the Thunder can play some defense as well. Oklahoma City leads its opponents by an average of 7.6 points, the second best point differential in the NBA.

None of this automatically means the Thunder will win by double digits. Portland plays slightly better at home, and 13.5 points is a lot to give to anyone in this league. On an average night with full rosters, the Trail Blazers could well sneak into single-digit underdog territory at home.

But it’s hard to see how Portland can even make it a competitive game tonight. With so many injuries, who will help Simons match Gilgeous-Alexander’s score? Who will guard Holmgren if Ayton isn’t healthy? How can the Blazers both handle the number of elite scoring options the Thunder can bring and find reliable options against a tough Oklahoma City defense?

Maybe Portland can find answers to one of these questions, but it’s hard to imagine they can solve them all. This shouldn’t be a competitive game, and it could be another ugly matchup for the Trail Blazers. I take the Thunder and give as many points as the books want to take.

My best bet: Thunder -13.5 (-110 at FanDuel) 30% live boost available

Parlay Thunder vs Trail Blazers in the same match

Thunder -13.5

Over 223.5

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points

The Thunder are likely to score a lot of points tonight, and that sets a good foundation for a same-game matchup in this competition. I’ll take Oklahoma City to cover and pair this with the Over, which was set at a modest number tonight. The Over is 6-3-1 in the Thunder’s last 10 games, and they have played over tonight’s total in eight of those games.

If there is a score to be had, we can be sure that Gilgeous-Alexander will have his share. While he only managed 20 against the Lakers on Monday, SGA had already scored more than 30 points in eight straight games. I’m taking him back to this number tonight and bringing home our SGP.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Spread and Over/Under Analysis

The Thunder opened tonight’s game as a 13-point favorite. The consensus spread has shifted to Oklahoma City -13.5, with almost every book offering -110 on both sides.

Oklahoma City has outperformed expectations this year and gone 38-23 against the spread. Portland has been almost even for oddsmakers, going 28-32 ATS this season.

It’s always scary to give up that many points in an NBA game, but Oklahoma City is healthy while Portland is not. More importantly, the Thunder are good and the Blazers are not, even when they have a full complement of starters. I take the Thunder and I score the points tonight.

Tonight’s total started at 224 points. There hasn’t been much movement, with various sites now offering between 223.5 and 224.5 as the main Over/Under line for the game.

Oklahoma City has played the Over this season, going 35-25-1. The Under holds a slight 32-28 advantage this year in Portland games.

The Thunder should score a ton of points tonight, with the only question being how well the Trail Blazers can keep up. It’s really an open question, which makes the total a tricky game. However, I tend to ride the Oklahoma City offense if you want to play that market. I’m leaning towards the Over this evening.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers betting trend to know

The Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall. Find more NBA Betting Trends for Thunder vs. Trail Blazers.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Game Info

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