Stephen Curry and the Warriors will host Damian Lillard and the surging Bucks on Wednesday night (10 p.m. ET, ESPN), with both teams battling for the doubleheader. We’ll analyze the odds for this star-studded West Coast tilt, and also provide our best bets, top props, and final score prediction.
The Warriors just finished a four-game road trip with a 3-1 record, with their only blemish coming in the form of a 140-88 loss to the Eastern Conference-leading Celtics (throw the game tape on that one there, Steve Kerr! ). Still, the Dubs have won 11 of their last 14 games and appear focused on exiting NBA Play-In territory.
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The Bucks won’t be an easy out, however. Doc Rivers settled down after a turbulent time (and sometimes grumpy) first weeks as Milwaukee’s head coach. The Bucks have won all six games since Dame, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Doc dominated All-Star Weekend (maybe the Indy-bound trio!?). Their 8-2 run pushed them past the banged-up Cavaliers and into the second seed.
We’re excited for this one, and we can’t wait to bet on the spread and the player prop market. Let’s dive into the odds and reveal our best bets from BetMGM to help you end your bump day in style.
Warriors vs Bucks prediction, player props, betting against the spread and moneyline
All odds and props are from BetMGM, a licensed NBA gaming operator.
- ATS: Warriors -1.5 (-110) | Dollars +1.5 (-110)
- Money line: Warriors -120 | Dollars +103
- More less : W 230.5 (-110) | U230.5 (-110)
Sportsbooks list the Warriors as modest favorites, likely because they are just 16-15 at Chase Center this season and have split their last four games at home.
The Bucks have won six in a row and eight of their last 10 games, but they are still just 16-14 on the road and could be without Giannis and Middleton for a second straight game. Be sure to check back regularly until updates are reported.
Warriors vs Bucks predictions, best bets
Call us crazy, but we’re rooting for the house favorites here. Before the disastrous 52-point loss to the Celtics, Golden State had won 12 of its last 14 games. They shot 38.9 percent from three-point range in February, maintaining their season average of over 15 made threes per game.
With Giannis and Middleton both banged up, the Warriors should be able to dictate the pace a little more than Dame and the Bucks. The Dubs ran and shot, Curry was blocked more than ever and Steve Kerr’s rotation was bolstered by Jonathan Kuminga’s breakout, Klay Thompson’s move to the bench and Chris Paul’s return from injury.
Our only cause for concern exists around the rim, as Brook Lopez and Bobby Portis have been playing their classic brands of physical inside basketball of late. However, the Warriors have been sneakily good on the glass, averaging an NBA-best 55.3 rebounds per game on the season, and a whopping 58.3 per game over their last three contests.
All three will fly, as Milwaukee has also been lighting him up from the outside lately. But the Dubs shoot better at home than the Bucks shoot on the road, and Golden State (at least for now) is healthier. We’re backing the Warriors on the moneyline and against the spread, with Milwaukee failing to eclipse 113 points for the fourth straight game.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Warriors 118Bucks 113 — The Warriors earn (-120) And blanket (-1.5), resisting Milwaukee and keeping the score well below total (230.5).
Warriors vs Bucks: bet on the best player
Jonathan Kuminga points — OVER 19.5 (-115)
Kuminga has been in fine form since his mid-January breakthrough, reaching 20 points in 14 of Golden State’s last 23 games. He also had 28 points in the Dubs’ last matchup against the Bucks, a 129-118 win at Milwaukee on Jan. 13. We like the Congolese forward to stand out against the powerful Bucks and capitalize on the fact that Giannis is assaulted and the duo of BroLo and Portis is older and slower.
